UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
(U//FOUO) Administrators Operating on the Darknet Likely
Relying on Legal Gateways to Route Users, Facilitating the
Trafficking of Illicit Products and Services
(U) PREPARED BY FBI KANSAS CITY FIELD
7 MAY 2020
OFFICE
FBI IB103 20200507
CO-AUTHORS, FBI NEW YORK FIELD OFFICE,
FBI CYBER DIVISION
(U) This document is classified: Unclassified//For Official Use Only.
(U) Intelligence Bulletin template approved for fiscal year 2020, as of 1 October 2019.
(U//FOUO) The FBI assesses administrators operating on the Darkneta likelyb are relying on legal
gatewaysc to route users to Darknet marketplaces, facilitating the trafficking of illicit products and
servicesd by legitimate means. This assessment is made with medium confidence,e based on two
human sources with direct access, and open source reporting from the Empire Market.f
(U//FOUO) The FBI makes this assessment with the key assumption that administrators of Darknet
marketplaces are aware of the illegality associated with gateways collating links to Darknet
markets and profiting from the facilitation of the sale of illicit products and services on those
marketplaces. Over the next one to two years, the FBI judges administrators of criminal Darknet
marketplaces likely will increase reliance on legal gateways for visitor traffic and approach
gateway administrators to offer payment in return for illegal cooperation, facilitation, or
promotion,g reducing the effectiveness of future law enforcement takedowns. Indicators that would
lead the FBI to revise this judgment would be observing the impact of a law enforcement Darknet
marketplace takedown, and monitoring the migration of vendors and buyers to other marketplaces
listed by the legal gateways.
a (U) Analyst Note: The Darknet is a portion of the Internet consisting of services and sites that can only be accessed by
individuals using the Tor anonymization software.
b (U) See Appendix A: Expressions of Likelihood.
c (U) Analyst Note: A “gateway” is a website accessible through the Internet that aggregates the .onion addresses of
hidden services, to include Darknet marketplaces and forums.
d (U) Analyst Note: Illicit products and services include narcotics, fraudulent and digital products, and software and
malware delivery services.
e (U) See Appendix B: Confidence in Assessments and Judgments Based on a Body of Information.
f (U) Analyst Note: The Empire Market is currently the largest Darknet marketplace, facilitating the sale of narcotics,
fraudulent and digital products, and software and malware.
g (U) Analyst Note: Promotion includes recommending users visit a specific marketplace or valuing certain
marketplaces above others through means of unique display or stated intention by an administrator of a gateway
platform.
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(U) Source Summary Statement
(U//FOUO) Reporting in this intelligence bulletin was derived from two human sources with direct access and open
source reporting. The first human source was deemed credible because of the source’s extensive reporting record
over the last two years and direct access to the information provided. The second human source maintains direct
access at the direction of the FBI and their reporting has been corroborated over the last four years. Furthermore,
reporting provided by each human source was corroborated in part by the reporting from the other human source.
The FBI deemed the human source reporting as reliable in making the assessment because of the direct access to
the information and partial corroboration. Both human sources provided critical information for the assessment and
provided additional context. Open source information from one Darknet marketplace was used to supplement the
human source reporting. The human source collection occurred between August 2019 and March 2020, while the
open source collection occurred between May 2019 and February 2020. The reporting was current as of March
2020.
(U//FOUO) Administrators Operating on the Darknet Likely Relying on Legal
Gateways to Route Users, Facilitating the Trafficking of Illicit Products and
Services
(U//FOUO) The FBI assesses administrators operating on the Darknet likely are relying on legal
gateways to route users to Darknet marketplaces, facilitating the trafficking of illicit products and
services by legitimate means. This assessment is based on reporting indicating the administrators
of Darknet marketplaces, forums, and websites rely on services via communication through email
or Jabberh provided by Dark.Fail, DarknetLive, and other legal gateways for visitor traffic.i In
addition, the administrator of Empire Market indicated Dark.Fail was the preferred method of
obtaining Uniform Resource Locators (URLs) to access Empire Market; and the administrator of
Dread engaged with Dark.Fail to prove authenticity to keep the site listed on the Dark.Fail
gateway.
•
(U//FOUO) According to a human source with direct access who has been reporting
over the last two years, as of 20 March 2020, Darknet administrators used personal
connections with gateway administrators to get the Darknet market URLs listed on
the gateway.1 As of 28 November 2019, Darknet administrators and moderators
engaged with DarknetLive and Dark.Fail to provide advice and opinions on the
existing Darknet markets. A known moderator for several Darknet markets
interacted with DarknetLive to provide a list of markets to display on
DarknetLive.com and advised on adding and removing markets when given proper
information about them from other Darknet market administrators and moderators,
according to the same source.2
h (U) Analyst Note: Jabber is a secure and encrypted decentralized instant-messaging platform used by cyber criminals
to communicate in real-time.
i
(U) Analyst Note: The current notable gateways that appear to be operating legally include but are not limited to
Dark.Fail (Dark.Fail), DarknetLive (Darknetlive.com), DNStats (DNStats.net), and Dark Eye
(t7tb43a7gvl6wb7j.onion).
2
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•
(U//FOUO) According to a human source with direct access who has been reporting
over the last four years, as of 30 March 2020, the administrators of gateways to the
Darknet posed as journalists or news sites and were contacted directly by Darknet
marketplace administrators using email or Jabber.3 As of 4 February 2020, Darknet
marketplaces relied on gateways to function as a phishing solution to avoid
scammers and to serve as a repository for reputable links to each site, according to
the same source.4
•
(U) According to open source reporting from the Empire Market, as of 24 February
2020, the banner on its main page states “Don’t get Phished! Never login using
random links and only get links from Dark.Fail or darkfailllnkf4vf.onion.”5
•
(U//FOUO) According to a human source with direct access who has been reporting
over the last two years, as of 1 October 2019, HugBunter, the administrator of the
Dread forum, confirmed his identity to the administrator of Dark.Fail to ensure the
Dread forum had not been taken over by law enforcement. HugBunter answered 10
specific questions that only HugBunter knew the answer to for authentication
purposes, ensuring the Dread criminal forum remained listed on Dark.Fail.6
(U) Perspective
(U//FOUO) Administrators of Darknet marketplaces, including historical marketplaces such as
AlphaBay, Hansa, Dream, and Wall Street, relied on DeepDotWeb (DDW)j for visitor traffic to
bolster sales and profits of illegal contraband and services. In response to the DDW takedown,
gateways to Darknet marketplaces adopted lessons learned to operate legally, primarily by
avoiding receiving money from administrators in exchange for listing URLs to the markets or
taking referral fees for visitors routed to Darknet marketplaces. This resulted in a shift in the modus
operandi of gateways and how they interact and cooperate with Darknet marketplaces and forum
administrators. According to a human source with direct access, as of November 2019, the
administrator of Dark.Fail did not accept payments for marketplace listings in order to stay within
legal boundaries.7 According to another human source with direct access, as of December 2019,
Dark.Fail was different from previous gateways in order to be 100 percent legal.8 According to a
post on the Darknet forum Dread by the administrator of DarknetLive, as of 25 May 2019, sites
dedicated to information and news were legal as long as the sites avoided the modus operandi
employed by DeepDotWeb, which was to receive money from marketplaces in exchange for listing
the URLs to the markets, which is a violation of US laws.9
(U//FOUO) This bulletin is the first FBI external product evaluating the shift in the extent of the
relationship between Darknet marketplaces and forum administrators and gateways that route users
to aforementioned marketplaces and forums. Furthermore, this bulletin advances the understanding
of this threat by examining the gateways to the Darknet that have emerged to take the place of
DDW that are relied upon by administrators to facilitate Darknet illicit contraband and services.
j
(U) Analyst Note: DDW was a gateway to Darknet marketplaces that was seized in May 2019 for profiting from the
facilitation of the sale of illegal contraband.
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(U) Analysis of Alternatives
(U//FOUO) The FBI considered the alternative hypothesis that administrators operating on the
Darknet likely engage with gateways at an illicit level, while the gateways present an effective
façade of legitimacy by appearing to be legal services, deterring law enforcement interdiction. The
FBI discounted this alternative because a combination of human source and open source reporting
provide the unified impression that current gateway administrators are meticulously avoiding any
violations of US laws following the takedown of the DDW seizure in May 2019. The FBI will
reexamine this hypothesis and adjust the likelihood if information or human source reporting arises
indicating that the administrations of gateways to the Darknet are receiving profits for their
services via virtual currency transfers from Darknet marketplaces.
(U) Outlook
(U//FOUO) Over the next one to two years, the FBI judges administrators of criminal Darknet
marketplaces likely will increase reliance on legal gateways for visitor traffic and approach
gateway administrators to offer payment in return for illegal cooperation, facilitation, or promotion,
reducing the effectiveness of future law enforcement takedowns. Opportunities to exploit this shift
in the modus operandi of Darknet marketplaces relying on legal gateways requires more extensive
placement and access of human sources and a coordinated strategy among the law enforcement
agencies and the US Department of Justice to further integrate the current approach to Darknet
investigations. Additionally, debriefings and proffer interviews of apprehended subjects involved in
running Darknet marketplaces and forums will provide law enforcement with opportunities to
further understand how marketplaces and gateways to the Darknet interact. Indicators of this
increasing reliance on legal gateways and incentive payments to gateway administrators include:
−
(U//FOUO) Observing the impact of a law enforcement Darknet marketplace takedown,
and monitoring the migration of vendors and buyers to other marketplaces listed by the
legal gateways;
−
(U//FOUO) Human source reporting indicating administrators of marketplaces are
attempting to send virtual currency to administrators of gateways; and
−
(U//FOUO) Administrators of gateways receiving suspicious virtual currency transfers
from Darknet marketplaces, suggesting payment in return for cooperation.
(U) If you would like to provide qualitative feedback on this product, please send an email to the appropriate address with the product title as
the subject line: DI_Customer_Feedback@fbi.gov; DI_Customer_Feedback@fbi.sgov.gov; or DI_Customer_Feedback@fbi.ic.gov
(U) FBI Cyber Division, FBI Kansas City Field Office, and FBI New York Field Office prepared this intelligence bulletin. Please direct
comments and queries to the Kansas City Field Intelligence Group at 1-816-512-8200, the New York Field Intelligence Group at 1-212-384-
1000, or the Major Cyber Crimes Intelligence Unit at 703-633-6059.
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(U) Appendix A: Expressions of Likelihood
(U) Phrases such as “the FBI judges” and “the FBI assesses,” and terms such as “likely” and
“probably” convey analytical judgments and assessments. The chart below approximates how
expressions of likelihood and probability correlate with percentages of chance. Only terms of
likelihood should appear in FBI products; the chart includes terms of probability strictly for
comparison, as they sometimes appear in reporting of other government agencies. Furthermore, the
FBI does not arrive at judgments through statistical analysis and will not use terms of probability to
convey uncertainty in FBI external intelligence products.
UNCLASSIFIED
Almost
Roughly
Terms of
Very
Very
Almost
No
Unlikely
Even
Likely
Likelihood
Unlikely
Likely
Certain(ly)
Chance
Chance
Roughly
Terms of
Highly
Improbable
Probable
Highly
Nearly
Remote
Even
Probability
Improbable
(Improbably)
(Probably)
Probable Certain
Odds
Percentages
1-5%
5-20%
20-45%
45-55%
55-80%
80-95%
95-99%
of Chance
(U) Table showing terms of likelihood aligned with terms of probability and percentages of chance.
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(U) Appendix B: Confidence in Assessments and Judgments Based on
a Body of Information
(U) Confidence levels reflect the quality and quantity of the source information supporting a
judgment. Consequently, the FBI ascribes high, medium, or low levels of confidence to
assessments, as follows:
(U) High confidence generally indicates the FBI’s judgments are based on high quality
information from multiple sources. High confidence in a judgment does not imply the assessment
is a fact or a certainty; such judgments might be wrong. While additional reporting and information
sources may change analytical judgments, such changes are most likely to be refinements and not
substantial in nature.
(U) Medium confidence generally means the information is credibly sourced and plausible but not
of sufficient quality or corroborated sufficiently to warrant a higher level of confidence. Additional
reporting or information sources have the potential to increase the FBI’s confidence levels or
substantively change analytical judgments.
(U) Low confidence generally means the information’s credibility or plausibility is uncertain, the
information is too fragmented or poorly corroborated to make solid analytic inferences, or the
reliability of the sources is questionable. Absent additional reporting or information sources,
analytical judgments should be considered preliminary in nature.
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